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Observations of the star Betelgeuse taken by the ESO鈥檚 Very Large Telescope in January and December 2019, which show the star鈥檚 substantial dimming. Photo: ESO/M. Montarg猫s et al.

Late last year, news broke that the star Betelgeuse was fading significantly, ultimately dropping to around 40% of its usual brightness. The activity fueled popular speculation that the red supergiant would as a massive supernova.

But astronomers have more benign theories to explain the star鈥檚 dimming behavior. And scientists at the 91爆料 and Lowell Observatory believe they have support for one of them: Betelgeuse isn鈥檛 dimming because it鈥檚 about to explode 鈥 it鈥檚 just dusty.

In a accepted to Astrophysical Journal Letters and published on the preprint site arXiv, , a 91爆料 associate professor of astronomy, and , an astronomer with Lowell Observatory, report that observations of Betelgeuse taken Feb. 14 at the Flagstaff, Arizona, observatory allowed them to calculate the average surface temperature of the star. They discovered that Betelgeuse is significantly warmer than expected if the recent dimming were caused by a cooling of the star鈥檚 surface.

The new calculations lend support to the theory that Betelgeuse 鈥 as many red supergiant stars are prone to do 鈥 has likely sloughed off some material from its outer layers.

A visible-light image of VY Canis Majoris, a red supergiant star that is largely obscured by dust, taken in 2005. Photo: NASA/ESA/R. Humphreys/University of Minnesota

鈥淲e see this all the time in red supergiants, and it鈥檚 a normal part of their life cycle,鈥 said Levesque. 鈥淩ed supergiants will occasionally shed material from their surfaces, which will condense around the star as dust. As it cools and dissipates, the dust grains will absorb some of the light heading toward us and block our view.鈥

It is still true: Astronomers expect Betelgeuse to explode as a supernova within the next 100,000 years when its core collapses. But the star鈥檚 dimming, which began in October, wasn鈥檛 necessarily a sign of an imminent supernova, according to Massey.

One theory was that newly formed dust was absorbing some of Betelgeuse鈥檚 light. Another posited that huge convection cells within Betelgeuse had drawn hot material up to its surface, where it had cooled before falling back into the interior.

鈥淎 simple way to tell between these possibilities is to determine the effective surface temperature of Betelgeuse,鈥 said Massey.

Measuring a star鈥檚 temperature is no straightforward task. Scientists can鈥檛 just point a thermometer at a star and get a reading. But by looking at the spectrum of light emanating from a star, astronomers can calculate its temperature.

鈥淓mily and I had been in contact about Betelgeuse, and we both agreed that the obvious thing to do was to get a spectrum,鈥 said Massey. 鈥淚 already had observing time scheduled on the 4.3-meter , and I knew if I played around for a bit I would be able to get a good spectrum despite Betelgeuse still being one of the brightest stars in the sky.鈥

The light from bright stars is often too strong for a detailed spectrum, but Massey employed a filter that effectively 鈥渄ampened鈥 the signal so they could mine the spectrum for a particular signature: the absorbance of light by molecules of titanium oxide.

Titanium oxide can form and accumulate in the upper layers of large, relatively cool stars like Betelgeuse, according to Levesque. It absorbs certain wavelengths of light, leaving telltale 鈥渟coops鈥 in the spectrum of red supergiants that scientist can use to determine the star鈥檚 surface temperature.

By their calculations, Betelgeuse鈥檚 average surface temperature on Feb. 14 was about 3,325 degrees Celsius, or 6,017 F. That鈥檚 only 50-100 degrees Celsius cooler than the temperature that a team 鈥 including Massey and Levesque 鈥 had calculated as Betelgeuse鈥檚 surface temperature in 2004, years before its dramatic dimming began.

These findings cast doubt that Betelgeuse is dimming because one of the star鈥檚 massive convection cells had brought hot gas from the interior to the surface, where it had cooled. Many stars have these convection cells, . They resemble the surface of a pot of boiling water, said Levesque. But whereas the convection cells on our sun are numerous and relatively small 鈥 roughly the size of Texas or Mexico 鈥 red supergiants like Betelgeuse, which are larger, cooler and have weaker gravity, sport just three or four massive convection cells that stretch over much of their surfaces.

A simulation of a hypothetical red supergiant star, showing its massive convection cells
A simulation of giant convection cells on a hypothetical red supergiant star. Photo: Bernd Freytag/Uppsala University

If one of these massive cells had risen to Betelgeuse鈥檚 surface, Levesque and Massey would have registered a substantially greater decrease in temperature than what they see between 2004 and 2020.

An image of Betelgeuse captured in 2017 by the Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array, showing probable convection cells at the surface. Photo: ALMA/ESO/NAOJ/NRAO/E. O鈥橤orman/P. Kervella

鈥淎 comparison with our 2004 spectrum showed immediately that the temperature hadn鈥檛 changed significantly,鈥 said Massey. 鈥淲e knew the answer had to be dust.鈥

Astronomers have observed clouds of dust around other red supergiants, and additional observations may reveal similar clutter around Betelgeuse.

Over the past few weeks, Betelgeuse has actually started to , albeit slightly. Even if the recent dimming wasn鈥檛 an indication that the star would soon explode, to Levesque and Massey, that鈥檚 no reason to stop looking.

鈥淩ed supergiants are very dynamic stars,鈥 said Levesque. 鈥淭he more we can learn about their normal behavior 鈥 temperature fluctuations, dust, convection cells 鈥 the better we can understand them and recognize when something truly unique, like a supernova, might happen.鈥

The research was funded by grants to Lowell Observatory, the Research Corporation for Scientific Advancement and the National Science Foundation.

For more information, contact Levesque at emsque@uw.edu and Massey at massey@lowell.edu.